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← An Open Letter to Bill Maher on Vaccinations

Dr Benway's Avatar Jump to comment 205 by Dr Benway

Bonzai:

What do you mean by the prior probability for flu vaccine,what would the posterior probability represent?

Yeah, I guess I kinda condensed my meaning beyond all intelligibility.

What I meant to convey was this: We understand the molecular mechanism of provoking an antibody response in exquisite detail. Plus we have 60 years of cooking up annual flu vaccines. We may not be able to precisely predict how many vaccinated individuals will be protected by the vaccine. But we can predict a range that will be a very safe bet.

So when people complain that the swine flu vaccine was rushed and not adequately proven safe and effective, I kinda don't really care.

Tue, 20 Oct 2009 00:53:00 UTC | #406871