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I'm agnostic about nuclear holocaust. We came so close in the Cold War, and many evil regimes currently have nuclear weapons or the capability to build them. I think its likely in the next 1,000 years or so. It almost certainly will happen eventually. If there is only a 1 in 1000 chance for a nuclear holocaust in a given year, then the chances that it will happen at least once in the next 1000 years is 63%.
Permalink Mon, 14 Nov 2011 13:51:49 UTC | #890040