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Sean Faircloth:
Attack of the Theocrats!
Actually, it's more than that. Nobody can detect them, not even you. Anybody that could would simply have extended the blanket we call the natural world. Things don't stay in the categories "natural" and "supernatural". While it's certainly true that, alethically, anything could exist outside of the observable universe, the observable universe, by definition, is the only thing we can know about. Until the thing outside the observable universe enters the observable universe, in an Einsteinian sense it doesn't exist. And there are far more ways of being wrong than of being right. Even if you got something right about the unobservable universe prior to it entering the observable, that's just a lucky guess. The supernatural is a subset of ignorance, and as a result is just another gap for a pet theory.
Except by inference, which we use when examining the origins of the universe using astronomy (in other words, by looking at the observable universe and extrapolating based on that), it is impossible to pretend to any sort of confidence of what exists outside the observable universe. To claim otherwise is to claim you can observe the unobservable. If you think a deity is lurking outside and occasionally reaches in, it's your job to point and say where he is when he reaches in (i.e. when he becomes an observable and a natural phenomenon), not to accuse us of lack of imagination. And where you point had better not be another gap of ignorance, like the inside of your own head when we haven't got an MRI scanner handy, because you end up with the same problem.
You act like philosophy or theology don't have the same problem. And I imagine you think they somehow have some means of getting around this problem without being baseless speculation. You don't seem to think this is a good place to admit nobody knows anything about anything beyond the natural world or even to admit that this easily-said idea of there being anything beyond the natural world has any basis in reality. You don't even give voice to the idea that there might be a super-supernatural world by analogy with the supernatural and natural one. Why?
We'd be fascinated if you could propose some alternative means of knowing that doesn't have even more severe limitations than this. I freely admit science isn't omniscient, but nobody here thinks it is. It isn't a body of facts. It's our current best means of getting any.
Inference relies on observations, measurements, and series of experiments to back itself up, and inference is very much a scientific tool. It's also all that anybody can do, you included. Why else has the Judeo-Christian god been reduced to something whose existence has to be inferred in the gaps? Because every time someone figured something out, the gaps got smaller. The goalposts were moved. This raises the question of why the goalposts were set up in the first place.
Your point only works if you think the burden of proof is on those making a negative statement. There is no evidence for anything supernatural because anything beyond nature i.e. the observable universe is, by definition, unobservable and evidenceless. Your point is simply a rephrasing of the old "God exists" "no he doesn't" "prove it" canard. What "evidence" could be presented for nonexistence? Only both the lack of evidence for it and a huge amount of evidence for opposing ideas.
Actually, philosophy and science overlap significantly. They both require logical argumentation, the correct assigning of the burden of proof, Ockham's razor, and recognizing fallacies and category errors. Deduction and induction (and inference) inform both kinds of arguments. Science and philosophy aren't mutually exclusive, and an assumption of naturalism is no more exclusive to science than it is to philosophy. Every time we teach science, we tacitly accept some philosophical doctrines.
Except that metal detectors are a subset of the broader range of senses confirmed to exist. We're talking about every means of sensing things possible, not just one way. Even the guy wondering if there are things other than metal has to admit he's guessing based on the fact that he's found metal, and whatever else is found is confirmed by everybody, not just him if he doesn't want to look like a charlatan. And it is far more likely, because far easier, to claim that you have an extra sense and complain about closed-minded colleagues than it is to actually have one, especially if you're going out of your way to make it undetectable. You're also trying to appeal to common sense. It's easy for us to think there might be other things in the sands. It's not so straightforward when we turn the question onto people claiming to sense things others can't, especially when they haven't been put to a rigorous test (or more suspiciously, go out of their way to denigrate such tests).
If that's all we've got, anyone claiming to have a new kind of detector is indistinguishable from a charlatan - indeed, is unable to prove otherwise unless they somehow connect it to the rest of the senses. We can't see UV radiation, but multiple lines of evidence have expanded our senses. And there's the rub. Evidence. It's all very well speculating whether there are any more materials in the sand. It's another to claim there's a ghost in it, but that our tools can't detect it. Everybody, even you, depends on senses. It's true that one sense can compensate for the limitations of the others, but if you're going to posit some new kind of "sense", you'd better have good grounds for saying so. And personal revelation is the worst ground possible.
See Comment 21 by Steven Mading, who says what needs to be said.
This is an old argument out of touch with modern science. Tyler Durden points out well enough, but I might as well add that there's no magic ingredient cutting off the baker from the rest of the universe, as you suggest. It certainly doesn't make a case for the supernatural argument.
Why would you presume the universe was "put together" at all? If you were making a case for a deity, you'd be called out for circular reasoning by philosopher and scientist alike.
Suppositions, or outright guesswork? A simple "I don't know" or "We don't have all the facts yet" has never killed anybody. On the other hand, pretending to already have the answers tends to kill rather than help investigation.
When they're based on inference, on the other hand, it comes under science's umbrella. If your multiverse idea is a dig at physics, it's a pretty poor dig. The multiverse idea, or at least the one I've encountered most often, is one means of resolving the paradoxes of quantum mechanics. (I apologize to anyone else present if they have a thorough understanding of this subject, as I don't and I may make one or two errors). For instance, it's one means of resolving the uncertainty principle by positing that all possible outcomes of each stochastic quantum event are realized, but in different universes parallel with this one, and that it is at the quantum level where the boundary blurs. The dark energy in the universe is possibly one side effect of another universe interacting with our own. This is a testable, or at least mathematically verifiable, proposition and, given current physics, a hypothesis with a possible scope for future investigation. The idea is not currently confirmed, and it may well be that the universe is just that strange at that level, but it has to fit in with what we know about subatomic particle behaviour and the nature of space-time. It's a far cry from inventing a gigantic mind with more properties than minds usually have, and then hiding it outside of empirical and mathematical study, because the multiverse theory was forced by the results of many rigorous experiments. If it turns out to be false, there it goes. Nobody's going to move the goal posts ad hoc for it.
Again, see Tyler Durden. In any case, so what? There may well be many things science cannot tell us. The mistake is to think - and I suspect you of being this sort of partisan - that anything else automatically can. It's not enough to shoot down a rival idea. You have to make a case for your own. And I'm sorry to say that two long-separated Christians reading the same passage out of a self-proclaimed holy book before one telephones the other (you should recognize this one) is not much of a case for positing the existence of anything outside the observable universe.
Nobody here claimed it was a scientific theory, as if it was a theory of evolution or of the four fundamental forces. I don't think anybody here believes nothing exists outside the universe as we observe it, except in an Einsteinian sense. The problem is that anybody claiming any specific belief that something exists is automatically talking nonsense unless they can bring it into the observable universe to prove its exists, at which point it ceases to be supernatural. It's an epistemological Catch-22. It also raises the question of how the claimant could know, and increases steeply the chance that he is making up stuff or putting too much confidence into something pretty baseless.
It may well be that there's something outside the observable universe, i.e. the natural world. I am also aware that a lack of evidence is not technically speaking evidence of nonexistence. But without evidence of such things, we tend to the null hypothesis, that there's nothing there. Anyone claiming otherwise has to shoulder the burden of proof. After all, while absence of evidence may not be evidence of absence, it definitely does nothing for the one claiming to have evidence.
That's science.
Permalink Tue, 17 Jul 2012 13:20:32 UTC | #949415